Many folks would like to see us back on the Moon and developing its resources.

Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Asteroid 2024 YR4

Asteroid 2024 YR4 - “The Sky Is Falling - Said Chicken Licken

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henny_Penny

There is a lot of stuff in space and some of it comes our way before we even know it. It’s hard to see what’s catching up to us when you’re looking at the sun so you often see things just after they pass you. That is you hope they passed you and didn’t run into you.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 was identified 2 days after it went by back in December of 2024 and now we think it might, possibly, hit the Moon in December of 2032.


Will you look up and see the fallout?

Mr. k


https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=29&month=07&year=2025

ASTEROID STRIKE COULD CAUSE A MOONDUST METEOR STORM: Mark your calendar. If asteroid 2024 YR4 hits the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032, Earth could experience a rare meteor storm made entirely of moondust.

Astronomers at the University of Western Ontario have analyzed what might happen if the 60-meter-wide space rock slams into the lunar surface seven years from now. In a new paper, they report that the impact would release as much energy as 6.5 megatons of TNT, blasting out a kilometer-wide crater and ejecting up to 100 million kilograms of lunar debris.

If it does impact the Moon and not us, will there still be stuff hitting Earth?

Read the paper and get a feel for the possibilities.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.11217


The Potential Danger to Satellites due to Ejecta from a 2032 Lunar Impact by Asteroid 2024 YR4


On 2032 December 22 the 60m diameter asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4% chance of impacting the Moon. Such an impact would release 6.5 MT TNT equivalent energy and produce a∼ 1 km diameter crater. We estimate that up to 108 kg of lunar material could be liberated in such an impact by exceeding lunar escape speed. Depending on the actual impact location on the Moon as much as 10% of this material may accrete to the Earth on timescales of a few days. The lunar ejecta-associated particle fluence at 0.1 - 10 mm sizes could produce upwards of years to of order a decade of equivalent background meteoroid impact exposure to satellites in near-Earth space late in 2032. Our results demonstrate that planetary defense considerations should be more broadly extended to cis-lunar space and not confined solely to near-Earth space.

There are different kinds of telescopes which can help define what it is that whizzed by.

NASA’s Webb Finds Asteroid 2024 YR4 Is Building-Sized

Editor’s Note: This post highlights data from Webb science in progress, which has not yet been through the peer-review process. These results were reported as part of NASA’s role in the International Asteroid Warning Network.

NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope recently turned its watchful eye toward asteroid 2024 YR4, which we now know poses no significant threat to Earth in 2032 and beyond.

We spoke with Andy Rivkin of the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, the principal investigator of the Webb Director’s Discretionary Time program used to study the asteroid’s characteristics from the observations.

What is important for people to know about these Webb observations?

While earlier in the year asteroid 2024 YR4 posed a potential future impact threat to Earth in 2032, by the end of February, NASA announced the risk of Earth impact had been significantly lowered to near-zero. Nevertheless, we are interested in using the observatory to measure its properties to understand what asteroids of this size are like to help inform the hazard they could pose to Earth. This is the smallest object targeted by the mission to date, and one of the smallest objects to have its size directly measured.

Wikipedia on Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a LOT of information.

You might want to see if you will join the dinosaurs in saying, “What? Again!”


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_YR4

2024 YR4 is an asteroid with an estimated diameter of 53 to 67 metres (174 to 220 ft)[7] that is classified as an Apollo-type(Earth-crossing) near-Earth object. From 27 January to 20 February 2025, it had an impact rating of 3 on the Torino scale, reflecting its size and an estimated probability greater than 1% that it would impact Earth on 22 December 2032. The estimated impact probability peaked at 3.1% on 18 February 2025. By 23 February, additional observations effectively ruled out 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032 and lowered its Torino rating to 0. Based on all observations up to a James Webb Space Telescope observation on 11 May 2025, there is a roughly 4% chance of impacting the Moon on 22 December 2032 around 15:19 UTC, with the asteroid expected to pass at 9000±74000 km from the surface of the Moon.


The asteroid was discovered by the Chilean station of the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) at Río Hurtado on 27 December 2024.[1][2]When additional observations increased its impact probability to greater than 1%, the first step in planetary defense responses was triggered, prompting additional data gathering using several major telescopes and leading United Nations–endorsed space agencies to begin planning asteroid threat mitigation.


The asteroid made a close approach to Earth at a distance of 828,800 kilometres (515,000 miles; 2.156 lunar distances) on 25 December 2024, two days before its discovery, and it will be moving away from the Sun until November 2026. Its next close approach will take place on 17 December 2028.[3] Analysis of spectral and photometric time series suggests that 2024 YR4 is a stony S-type (most likely), L-type or K-type asteroid, with a rotation period of approximately 19.5 minutes.[11] A number of known asteroids, including other virtual impactors,[c] follow orbits somewhat consistent with that of 2024 YR4.[17]

Thanks for looking up.

Mr. K


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WHAT THE MIND CAN CONCEIVE, AND BELIEVE, IT WILL ACHIEVE - LRK -

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Thursday, July 17, 2025

MOON SHOT

 Ted Anthony wrote about his recollection of his father taking a picture of a TV image of mankind on the Moon.


I too have a recollection of taking a picture of our first step on the Moon with my Polaroid camera and waiting in anticipation for the film to develop itself.

Now much older I say thanks to Ted for helping me remember.
Maybe his article will help you all to feel the excitement too.
LRK.
Moon Shot 
Gazing into a long-ago Polaroid taken by my father, and finding multitudes.
11 min read
·
Jun 18, 2016

Darkness. Darkness all around. That’s what the lens captured. On the edges: a thick white photographic border that shouts early 1970s. Moving toward the middle, inky black ebbs into greenish gray and, finally, into a tableau captured in a ghostly bluish-white.

In it, you can make out a figure and beyond it, some machinery and a coarse, remote landscape, viewed as if through a rudimentary pinhole camera. Some horizontal lines, barely perceptible, suggest this may not be an image in itself but an image of an image, viewed through some kind of vacuum-tube alchemy. Something is out there, but we’re not certain what. H.G. Wells comes to mind — a collision of the modern and the ancient, of the sterile and the visceral, the as-yet-unnamed aesthetic of steampunk. The world seen through a glass, darkly.

It is not a very good photograph, at least in the way that we tend to judge such things. But it is an important one. It shows how detached and gossamer we human beings really are. It shows us as we embark upon a journey to become a society of watchers, separated by multiple layers of reality from the events that shape us.

And it shows that, in a manner of speaking, the camera that captured my childhood also went to the moon.

One forgotten day between 1969 and 1972, my father, approaching the end of his fifth decade on the third planet, raised his Polaroid Land Camera Automatic 230, pushed the red button in the top right corner and made a photograph.

A second or two afterward, he yanked it from the contraption by hand — a single piece of peel-away Polacolor pack film that required a minute’s wait before you pulled it apart to expose the quickly coalescing image.


If you found Ted’s article interesting you may find some of his other articles interesting as well.
Hopefully you will not mind if I reference some of them as as they make me smile.
LRK

Ted Anthony

Exploring and understanding storytelling and how it shapes our lives. 

My tools: Words, images, thoughts, memories, connections, history ... and, maybe, wisdom.


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WHAT THE MIND CAN CONCEIVE, AND BELIEVE, IT WILL ACHIEVE - LRK -

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Wednesday, July 16, 2025

20 JULY 1969 MOON LANDING

 


By SpecialK on July 16, 2025

20 July 1969 Moon Landing - Do you remember?

On a Historical note this is July and the news made mention of the coming July 20th  referring to the Moon landing of 1969. It was mentioned that some are interested in making it a  USA federal holiday.

Back in 2019 Trump proclaimed July 20 as the 50th anniversary observance for the moon landing, but no national holiday.

LRK

https://www.nationaldaycalendar.com/national-day/national-moon-day-july-20

NATIONAL MOON DAY

National Moon Day on July 20 commemorates the day man first walked on the moon in 1969. NASA reported the moon landing as being “...the single greatest technological achievement of all time.”

*

In 2019, President Donald Trump proclaimed July 20th as the 50th Anniversary Observance of the Apollo 11 Lunar Landing. However, no National Moon Day has been declared.

The United Nations has an International Moon Day.

LRK

https://www.un.org/en/observances/moon-day

The General Assembly declared International Moon Day, a United Nations-designated international day to be observed annually on 20 July, in its resolution 76/76 on “International cooperation in the peaceful uses of outer space” in 2021.

International Moon Day marks the anniversary of the first landing by humans on the Moon as part of the Apollo 11 lunar mission in 1969.

— 

Wyoming has a moon landing observance day, but it doesn’t seem like the other states have.

LRK

https://wyoleg.gov/Legislation/2023/SF0095

AN ACT relating to legal time and holidays; designating Moon Landing Day as a state recognized commemorative day to be observed as specified; and providing for an effective date.

Be It Enacted by the Legislature of the State of Wyoming:

I think the newscast was referring to these guys and their podcast and.net reference. 

LRK

https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-space/episodes/162

May 23rd 2025

THIS WEEK IN SPACE 162

LUNAR LANDING DAY

Hosted by Rod PyleTariq Malik

https://twit.tv/posts/tech/lunar-landing-day-movement-make-july-20th-federal-holiday

UNAR LANDING DAY: THE MOVEMENT TO MAKE JULY 20TH A FEDERAL HOLIDAY

May 28th 2025

AI-generated, human-edited.

The moon landing on July 20, 1969, was a monumental achievement for humanity, a triumph of technology, and a unifying moment in American history. Yet, as highlighted in a recent episode of This Week in Space, this incredible feat often goes unremembered by many, even those with a passion for space. Rod Pyle and Tariq Malik sat down with Dr. Robert Slater, MD, an orthopedic surgeon and the driving force behind the Lunar Landing Day Initiative, to discuss his quest to make July 20th a federal holiday.

Dr. Slater's inspiration for the initiative stemmed from a simple, yet disheartening, observation: his own staff couldn't recall the significance of July 20th, 1969. This realization sparked a profound concern that one of humanity's greatest accomplishments was fading from public memory. He believes we "ought to celebrate that every year," particularly in an age where positive news is sorely needed.

There is plenty on the Internet if someone looks.

LRK

https://www.archives.gov/publications/prologue/2003/summer/20-july-1969.html

https://www.history.com/articles/moon-landing-1969

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_11

The Space Review has an article by Anusuya Datta.

Nice story.

LRK

https://www.thespacereview.com/article/4779/1

Tintin, the first man in space and on the Moon

by Anusuya Datta
Monday, April 22, 2024

April 12 is a historic day for the space industry. On this day back in 1961, Russian cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin became the first human in space. Not to be left behind, the United States sent its first man into space in less than a month—Alan Shepard on May 5—thus sparking the famous space race between the two Cold War superpowers. December 1968 saw the launch of Apollo 8, the first manned space mission to orbit the Moon, and about seven months later Americans Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin made the historic Moon landing on July *20, 1969.

But everyone knows all this, and that’s not the story.

What many don’t know is that super hack Tintin was way ahead of both the superpowers in flying to space as well as landing on Moon. Yes, we are talking about the Belgian boy with a tuft of ginger hair.

*

All of this may be a mute subject if we end up with live war in space. 

See the space review article.

LRK

https://www.thespacereview.com/article/5022/1

War in space is not a future problem: it’s happening now

by Christopher Stone
Monday, July 14, 2025

Space is not a place where war will happen in the future, it’s a place where war is happening now! Major powers now vie for dominance in this vital warfighting domain, with China and Russia actively challenging the United States’ long-standing leadership. Evidence suggests these nations are not merely testing space weapons but are actively engaged in a low-intensity warfighting campaign to undermine US and allied interests in orbit, while preparing for further, more destructive and aggressive actions in  space.

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Site: http://lkellogg.vttoth.com/LarryRussellKellogg/

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WHAT THE MIND CAN CONCEIVE, AND BELIEVE, IT WILL ACHIEVE - LRK -

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