Many folks would like to see us back on the Moon and developing its resources.

Wednesday, January 09, 2008

Odds of Mars, asteriod collision decrease to 2.5% or was that 4% or ---

When I was a lad, long, long ago, I would go to the movies on  Saturday.
Before my serial thriller of Buck Rogers, would be a Newsreel and two
cartoons.
Only a slight delay in what was happening and slanted towards what I
should know.
(or someone thought I should know)

--------------------------------------
1956 NEWS REEL ATOMIC SUBMARINE & FIRST AMERICAN SATELITE...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSFV0RYCnVo
--------------------------------------

Now I ask Google to watch out for items and get a daily update of what
is being posted.
One has to consider the source of the information and use some common
sense in believing what you read.
Still, an asteroid might hit Mars, or not. It might miss by a little or
a lot.
Never mind, it missed us.

We know that because there are no new holes in the ground and we are
still here.

Maybe we need more grad students looking through the archives.
Maybe we need a way to look towards the Sun and feel the force being
disturbed by some large iron-nickel object.
Do you have room in your back 40 acres for an antenna farm?
Now would everyone just feed their data into the Internet Near Earth
Warning Collection node and
let the artificial neural net digest the signals and predict when it is
your time to be vaporized.

http://stormwise.com/vlfpre.htm
http://www.friendsofcrc.ca/Articles/EarlyRadioResearch.html
http://www.altair.org/natradio.html
http://www.sussex.ac.uk/space-science/papers.html
- LRK -

--------------------------------------
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/
NEAR EARTH OBJECT NEWS

Mars Impact Probability Increases to 4 Percent
<http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news153.html> (Near Earth Object Program
Office - December 28, 2007)
Astronomers Monitor Asteroid to Pass Near Mars
<http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2007-152> (NASA -
December 21, 2007)
Recently Discovered Asteroid Could Hit Mars in January (2007 WD5)
<http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news151.html> (Near Earth Object Program
Office - December 21, 2007)
Comet 73P/Schwassmann-Wachmann 3 Shows That Breaking Up Is Not So Hard
To Do <http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news150.html> (Near Earth Object
Program Office - April 24, 2006)
Hayabusa's Contributions Toward Understanding the Earth's Neighborhood
<http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/missions/hayabusa.html> (Near Earth Object
Program - August 11, 2005)


Snip
--------------------------------------

Ummm, things change, the world around us is dynamic.
We bob along like a cork in a great sea.
Add a magnetized needle and watch how the magnetic fields around us change.
Add an antenna and tell someone where you are.
[maybe that was a cell phone]

Thanks for looking up with me.

Larry Kellogg

Web Site: http://lkellogg.vttoth.com/LarryRussellKellogg/
BlogSpot: http://kelloggserialreports.blogspot.com/
RSS link: http://kelloggserialreports.blogspot.com/atom.xml
Newsletter: https://news.altair.com/mailman/listinfo/lunar-update
==============================================================

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-01/09/content_7393150.htm
BEIJING, Jan. 9 (Xinhuanet) -- The up-and-down odds of an asteroid
striking Mars this month are down again as astronomers continue to
refine its course toward the Red Planet.
The asteroid, named 2007 WD5, is now expected to miss Mars by about
18,641 miles (30,000 km), according a Tuesday report by NASA's Near
Earth-Object (NEO) program office.
Snip
==============================================================

http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/080108-mars-asteroid-update.html
Asteroid's Chances of Smacking Mars Dip
By Tariq Malik
Staff Writer
posted: 08 January 2008
6:44 pm ET

The chances of an asteroid smacking into Mars this month are slipping
away as astronomers continue to refine its course toward the red planet.

The space rock, an asteroid called 2007 WD5, is now expected to miss
Mars by about 18,641 miles (30,000 km), according a Tuesday report by
NASA's Near Earth-Object (NEO) program office.

Snip
==============================================================

http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/171121.html
Alaska researcher changes asteroid orbit

Posted : Wed, 09 Jan 2008 04:04:24 GMT
Author : Science News Editor
Category : Science (Technology)

ANCHORAGE, Alaska, Jan. 8 An astrophysicist at the University of Alaska
uncovered the information that narrowed the odds of an asteroid hitting
Mars.

Andrew Puckett, who is doing post-doctoral research in Anchorage, found
archival NASA data while using the Christmas break as a working
vacation, the Anchorage Daily News reported. After he supplied the
information to NASA, agency scientists increased the possibility of
"Asteroid 2007 WD5" striking Mars from one in 75 to one in 28.

Puckett said he knew the data would change the asteroid's projected orbit.
Snip
==============================================================

http://geology.com/articles/mars-impact-asteroid.shtml
Asteroid 2007 WD5 on a Collision Path with Mars
Astronomers estimate that it has about 1 chance in 25 of hitting Mars!

On November 20th, 2007, astronomers with the NASA-funded Catalina Sky
Survey discovered a new near-Earth asteroid. This object, designated
Asteroid 2007 WD5, is worthy of concern. Based upon its magnitude it was
estimated to be about 50 meters (164 feet) across. It is traveling at
about 28,000 miles per hour. At the time of its discovery, it had
already passed within 7.5 million kilometers (5 million miles) of earth.
That close approach occurred on November 1, 2007. It streaked past Earth
undetected.
snip

Refining the Asteroid's Orbit
As the asteroid zipped off towards Mars, astronomers on Earth were
carefully searching their space image archives. They were looking for
pre-discovery images of Asteroid 207 WD5.

They were in luck. Andy Puckett, a recent Ph.D. from the University of
Chicago (now at the University of Alaska at Anchorage), found an image
taken on November 8, 2007 - about two weeks prior to its discovery -
that showed Asteroid 2007 WD5 as a faint dot of light. This image
allowed astronomers to accurately determine the position of the asteroid
in space at a specific instant in time. This new data enabled them to
refine the path of the asteroid's orbit.

A 4% Chance of Hitting Mars!
This new data allowed astronomers to determine that Asteroid 2007 WD5
has about one chance in 25 of hitting Mars!

Snip
==============================================================

http://www.adn.com/news/alaska/story/258025.html
UAA researcher gives Mars bad news
COLLISION: Astrophysicist raises odds of asteroid strike.
By GEORGE BRYSON
gbryson@adn.com | gbryson@adn.com
Published: January 8th, 2008 12:12 AM
Last Modified: January 8th, 2008 12:38 AM

The odds are it will miss. Still, there's a huge asteroid -- a massive
rock about 160 feet long -- hurtling toward Mars.

Two weeks ago, NASA scientists said the chances it would collide with
the Red Planet were 1 in 75. Now they say it's 1 in 28, and astronomers
and physicists are beginning to take notice.

As they do, the scientists can credit Andrew Puckett, a 30-year-old
astrophysicist conducting post-doctoral research at the University of
Alaska Anchorage.

Working on his own during Christmas break, Puckett discovered archival
data that allowed NASA to refine its forecast on what's now being called
"Asteroid 2007 WD5."

Snip
==============================================================
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22562747/
Good news for Mars! Asteroid risk fades
Experts reduce chances of Jan. 30 collision to 2.5 percent

By Tariq Malik
updated 5:24 p.m. PT, Tues., Jan. 8, 2008
The chances of an asteroid smacking into Mars this month are slipping
away as astronomers continue to refine its course toward the Red Planet.

The space rock, an asteroid called 2007 WD5, is now expected to miss
Mars by about 18,641 miles (30,000 kilometers), according a Tuesday
report by NASA's Near Earth Object (NEO) program office.

Scientists now estimate the space rock's odds of walloping Mars on Jan.
30 at 2.5 percent, about a 1-in-40 chance, after a series of
observations taken by astronomers using Spain's 11.5-foot (3.5-meter)
Calar Alto Observatory. The new analysis lowered the asteroid's odds of
a Martian impact from a 3.6 percent chance released last week.

Snip
==============================================================

WHAT THE MIND CAN CONCEIVE, AND BELIEVE, IT WILL ACHIEVE - LRK

==============================================================

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